tl;dr
Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz stated in a Bloomberg interview that a US Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely to pass. Despite predicting a potential rise in Bitcoin's value to $500,000 if such a law were to pass, he believes President Trump lacks Senate support. Polymarket odds also indicate a low chance of pass...
Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz doubts the passage of a US Bitcoin Reserve, citing low Senate support and regulatory hurdles. Despite potential benefits for Bitcoin, bipartisan backing for the bill is limited, with Polymarket odds also emphasizing low chances of passing. While there is a possibility of eventual success, the timeline for passing a Bitcoin Reserve bill remains uncertain.
Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz stated in a Bloomberg interview that a US Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely to pass. Despite predicting a potential rise in Bitcoin's value to $500,000 if such a law were to pass, he believes President Trump lacks Senate support. Polymarket odds also indicate a low chance of passing but only accept bets on Trump fulfilling it quickly after his inauguration. Novogratz emphasized the hurdles in federal government support and the need for significant backing for the policy to succeed. While there is bipartisan support for a Bitcoin Reserve bill, it may take time to materialize. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz claimed that a US Bitcoin Reserve was unlikely to pass. Although he said such a law would push Bitcoin to $500,000, Novogratz believes that President Donald Trump will have insufficient Senate support. Polymarket odds also rate the chance of passing as very low, but it only accepts bets on Trump accomplishing it very quickly after the inauguration.
In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz was pessimistic about the chances of a US Bitcoin Reserve. Although Novogratz has repeatedly spoken about his high hopes for friendly regulation, he didn’t see a clear pathway for this campaign promise. Simply put, there are too many hurdles between the federal government and regular Bitcoin purchases. "It’s a low probability. While the Republicans control the Senate, they don’t have close to 60 seats. I think that it would be very smart for the United States to take the Bitcoin they have and maybe add some to it… I don’t necessarily think that the dollar needs anything to back it up,” Novogratz claimed. To be clear, he also emphasized that such a Reserve would be beneficial for Bitcoin, predicting it would shoot the price to $500,000. However, Novogratz doesn’t think the existing support is enough. Senator Cynthia Lummis got bipartisan support for her Bitcoin Reserve bill, and some state-level representatives also support the act. These vocal advocates, however, are few. It’ll take more than a few elected officials to get such a sweeping policy over the finish line. For example, Novogratz also got into a recent social media spat with Senator Elizabeth Warren, the famed Bitcoin critic.
Ultimately, there still is a decent chance that Trump will successfully pass a Bitcoin Reserve bill sometime in his four-year term. Lummis’ bill already has bipartisan support, and the US electorate is becoming more crypto-friendly. Several Democrats may vote in favor, or the midterms could see new pro-crypto wins. Nonetheless, it might take a while.