tl;dr
Coinbase's April 2025 Monthly Outlook predicts short-term volatility and potential downward pressure in the crypto market over the next 4-6 weeks, particularly from April to mid-May, due to global economic uncertainties, trade tensions, and macroeconomic factors. Bitcoin and the COIN50 index have fa...
Coinbase forecasts short-term crypto market volatility and downward pressure over the next 4-6 weeks due to global economic uncertainties. Bitcoin and the COIN50 index falling below their 200-day moving averages signal a potential bearish market cycle. Tight fiscal policies, US-China trade tensions, and extreme market fear contribute to ongoing crypto market uncertainty.
Coinbase expects crypto prices to stabilize in mid-to-late Q2 2025, setting the stage for growth in Q3. Institutional adoption, technological advancements, and favorable regulatory developments are predicted to drive significant crypto growth in 2025. Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle and potential new ETF approvals could catalyze strong price gains in Q3 2025.
The April 2025 Monthly Outlook predicts short-term volatility and potential downward pressure particularly from April to mid-May, driven by global economic uncertainties and macroeconomic factors. The fall of Bitcoin and the COIN50 index below their 200-day moving averages is a technical warning sign of bearish trends.
Coinbase advises investors to remain cautious and adopt defensive strategies during this volatile short-term period. The outlook aligns with trade tensions, tight fiscal policies, and extreme market fear as indicated by the Fear & Greed Index at “Extreme Fear” in early 2025.
Despite short-term challenges, Coinbase is optimistic about recovery and growth. They anticipate price stabilization in mid-to-late Q2, historically consistent with previous market corrections, followed by strong growth in Q3 supported by institutional adoption and blockchain innovations.
Factors such as looser monetary policies, declining bond yields, and clearer regulatory frameworks also contribute to the positive medium-term outlook. Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle in Q3 2025 is a pivotal catalyst expected to trigger substantial price increases, alongside possible approvals of additional crypto ETFs in the US.
This forecast encourages investors to watch for stabilization signals mid-year and prepare for potential opportunities in Q3, balancing caution with optimism in a complex and evolving market environment.