EddieJayonCrypto

 22 Aug 24

tl;dr

Notcoin (NOT) has experienced a 62% decline since reaching its peak in June, with the last 30 days showing significant price drops. However, analysis indicates a potential relief for the Telegram-based cryptocurrency. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has shifted to the positive side on the daily chart, ...

Notcoin (NOT) has declined by 62% since its all-time high in June but a bullish divergence in the Chaikin Money Flow suggests a potential rebound.


Past performance and the Long/Short Ratio indicate a possible price increase for Notcoin if buying pressure continues.


Despite a descending triangle pattern, growing buying pressure suggests Notcoin could break above the bearish formation and reach up to $0.016.


However, continued sell-offs by crypto whales could lead to further decline, potentially dropping Notcoin's price to $0.0085.


Notcoin (NOT) has experienced a 62% decline since reaching its peak in June, with the last 30 days showing significant price drops. However, analysis indicates a potential relief for the Telegram-based cryptocurrency. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has shifted to the positive side on the daily chart, signaling a bullish divergence and suggesting investors are buying the dip. Past performance in July also supports a potential rebound. Additionally, the Long/Short Ratio indicates a bullish sentiment. The price prediction suggests a possible rise to $0.013 and even $0.016, supported by growing buying pressure, but warns of potential further decline if crypto whales continue to sell off the token.


As of this writing, Notcoin’s price is $0.010. This is a notable fall from $0.012, which it hit on August 19 and eventually turned out to be a false breakout. But on the daily chart, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has exited its stay in the negative region and jumped to the positive side. The CMF is a technical indicator that evaluates the level of buying or selling pressure in the market to provide insights into future price direction. Typically, a rising CMF implies that market participants are accumulating. A falling rating of the indicator, however, shows that distribution is very much present. Therefore, the opposite movement of NOT’s price and the CMF is a bullish divergence, suggesting that investors are capitalizing on the recent discount and buying the dip.


Furthermore, past performance as recent as July reinforces the bias. For instance, as shown above, NOT experienced a downtrend to $0.010 on July 5. During the downturn, the CMF also followed. But moments after the indicator changed direction, the price also followed, eventually driving a 43% increase to $0.017. However, this does not imply that Notcoin’s price will replicate the exact upswing. But if money continues to flow into the token, a notable rebound could be next. It also appears that traders in the derivative market share a similar sentiment.


According to Coinglass, Notcoin’s Long/Short Ratio has hit an exact reading of 1. This ratio is a barometer of investor expectations. If the reading falls below 1, the average open position is bearish, while a reading above the value suggests otherwise. Therefore, the rising ratio reveals that there are more longs (buyers) than shorts (sellers).


At press time, the NOT/USD chart displayed a descending triangle, a pattern typically signaling bearish continuation. However, in some cases, a reversal can occur, and Notcoin appears to be one of those exceptions. As shown below, and supported by growing buying pressure, Notcoin seems poised to break above the bearish formation. For this breakout to happen, buyers must outpace sellers to shift market momentum. If successful, NOT could rise to $0.013 in the short term and potentially reach $0.016. However, this outlook may be invalidated if crypto whales continue to dump the token.


Recall that this investor cohort played a key role in driving the price down previously. If these sell-offs persist, Notcoin’s price could decline further, potentially dropping to $0.0085.


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