EddieJayonCrypto
4 Sep 25
The article discusses concerns that Bitcoin's current bull market may be nearing its end, based on historical patterns following halving events. Analyst Rekt Capital warns that a bear market could arrive before the end of October unless the cycle breaks. The current bull market, which began after ...
**The Clock is Ticking on the Bull Run** If history has any say, Bitcoin’s current bull market might be nearing its final act. Rekt Capital, a pseudonymous analyst with over half a million followers on X, is warning that a bear market could arrive before the end of October—unless the pattern from past halving cycles breaks. Rekt Capital’s argument hinges on a familiar rhythm: Bitcoin’s bull markets often peak in mid-September or mid-October in the year following a halving event. The last halving occurred in April 2024, and the analyst says the current cycle is “weeks away from mirroring the length of the 2020/2021 bull market.” That previous run lasted 152 weeks (nearly three years), and we’re already 145 weeks into this one. **The Bull Market’s Countdown** Rekt Capital’s math is stark. At 145 weeks, the current bull market is just seven weeks shy of matching the 2020–2021 surge. If the historical pattern holds, the peak could arrive as early as mid-September or mid-October. But the analyst isn’t entirely convinced the cycle will follow the script. “An extension probably isn’t going to be as long as most people think,” he cautions. This isn’t just about numbers—it’s about psychology. Rekt Capital points out that market reversals often catch investors off guard. During bear markets, people expect prices to keep falling, while during bull markets, they assume the upward trend will never end. Yet, the analyst argues, the most dramatic shifts happen when no one is looking. **A Warning in the Data** The 2020/2021 bull market ended with Bitcoin hitting a record high of nearly $65,000 before collapsing into a bear market that lasted over a year. If history repeats, the current cycle could follow a similar trajectory. But Rekt Capital’s prediction isn’t a death knell—it’s a reminder that markets are cyclical, and complacency can be costly. **What’s Next?** The question now is: Will investors heed the warning? Or will they dismiss it as another “bear market coming” prediction that fails to materialize? History suggests the latter is risky. As Rekt Capital puts it, “The market doesn’t care about your expectations—it only cares about the numbers.” So, what do you think? Is Bitcoin’s bull run running out of steam, or could this cycle defy the odds? The clock is ticking—and the next chapter could be written in the coming weeks.